How much should you bid on Google Ads?

Setting the right Target ROAS (Return on Ad Spend) in Google Ads is one of the most important — and most misunderstood — decisions in ecommerce marketing. Most businesses set a number that feels right. This calculator works it out properly.

What is Target ROAS?

Target ROAS tells Google's bidding algorithm what return you want for every pound you spend on ads. A TROAS of 3 means you want £3 of reported revenue for every £1 spent. Google will automatically adjust your bids to try to hit that target.

Set it too low and you'll overspend relative to your margin. Set it too high and Google will restrict your ads to only the highest-intent searches, limiting your volume. The right number sits in a specific place — and it's almost never the number people first think of.

Why the obvious number is usually wrong

If your margin is 50%, you might think a TROAS of 2 is right — spend £1, get £2 back, break even on marketing. But that logic has three problems.

First, if your GA4 is recording revenue including VAT, the £2 Google reports contains 20% tax that was never yours to keep. Second, you need to account for carriage costs that come out of that revenue. Third, Google Ads suffers from diminishing returns — the last portion of your budget is always working harder than the average, so your target needs a buffer to stay profitable at the margin.

Enter your numbers below and the calculator will work through each of these adjustments.

Your numbers

Revenue minus cost of goods
%
As a % of revenue
%
GA4 records revenue including VAT
%
10%

Accounts for the fact that the last portion of ad spend delivers a lower return than the average. 10% is a reliable starting point for most accounts.

Recommended Target ROAS

2.93 293%

Enter this as your Target ROAS in Google Ads

How we got there

Base ROAS from margin £1 spend needs £X revenue to break even at your margin 2.00
VAT adjustment GA4 revenue includes VAT — divide by 1.20 to get real revenue +0.40
Carriage cost adjustment Delivery costs as a % of revenue +0.15
Diminishing returns buffer Extra margin to stay profitable at the edge of your spend +0.26

Worked example

£
Google Ads spend £1,000
GA4 will report revenue of Spend × Target ROAS — this includes VAT if applicable £2,930
Less VAT Revenue that belongs to HMRC, not you -£488
Less carriage costs Delivery costs as % of GA4 revenue -£147
Net revenue (ex-VAT, ex-carriage) £2,295
Less cost of goods Based on your margin -£1,148
Gross profit before ad spend £1,148
Less ad spend -£1,000
Net profit after ads £148

Want us to set this up properly?

Getting the TROAS right is one thing. Building a campaign structure that actually hits it consistently is another. Book a free strategy call and we'll look at your account.

Book a free strategy call